A new poll in four of Labor’s Western Sydney seats show Labor would lose all with massive swings. Goodbye Ministers Chris Bowen and Jason Clare:
Poll: Labor wipeout out West | Herald Sun Andrew Bolt Blog
In results certain to increase the pressure for a leadership change, the exclusive Fairfax Media/ReachTEL automated poll, taken in four safe Labor electorates in the city’s sprawling west, has found much of Labor’s collapse can be directly attributed to negative perceptions of Ms Gillard’s leadership…
The two safest seats are Chifley, held by the Labor first termer Ed Husic, and Blaxland, held by frontbencher and rising star Jason Clare… The ALP retained both electorates in 2010 on healthy margins of 12.3 and 12.2 per cent respectively.
The other two electorates, McMahon and Werriwa, are usually designated safe Labor seats.. McMahon is held by the senior minister Chris Bowen…
When those in Blaxland were asked who would get their first preference vote if an election were held today, 34.2 per cent of the 662 residents polled said Mr Clare.
That compared with 44 per cent for the Liberal Party, giving it the upside of a 54-46 two party-preferred vote… In Chifley, Mr Husic would have been turfed out after one term with his share of the two party-preferred vote dropping from 62.3 per cent in 2010 to 46 per cent.
The poll suggests Clare and Husic would be saved if Labor switched to Rudd. But the other two seats would still go.
But here’s Labor’s nightmare. It cannot afford to lose a single seat. So the poll suggests that even under Rudd, Labor is still bound to lose, although not as badly. And if Rudd believes that coming back means he’ll simply lead Labor to defeat, will he want the job?
Silky smooth political skills there, champ.
